Dice-overlap probability argument

A thought experiment: taking the affected generator's range as roughly 1.1 trillion outcomes, or 40 bits, the poster computes the odds that a dice-rolled seed nonetheless lands inside that range as a figure with more than seventy leading zeros, and sets it beside the odds of being struck by lightning and of winning a lottery. He concludes that people are misframing the difference between breaking a small range of outcomes and breaking single-sig, and tells readers to roll the dice and record the results themselves. Held as a distinct argument in the dice debate; note that the objection raised elsewhere in the record, at notgrubles-2085481084888760400, is about firmware discarding dice input rather than about coincidental overlap, so the two are answering different questions. Held sources put the Mk3 figure variously at about 23, 32 and 40 bits. The arithmetic, the framing and the advice are the poster's own and are not verified here.